Skip to content
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3 · Germany

FSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht Frankfurt

· Mewa Arena, Mainz

Aperçu du match

The Bundesliga season is only two matches old, but the early narrative at the Mewa Arena is one of starkly contrasting fortunes. FSV Mainz 05, under U. Fischer, have taken four points from their opening two league games without conceding a goal. A commanding 5-0 victory away at Hamburger SV was followed by a goalless draw at home to SC Paderborn 07, setting up this first home derby of the campaign as a genuine test of their solid start.

Mainz’s pre-season form suggested a side finding its rhythm, with comfortable friendly wins over Paris FC and Bournemouth either side of a 3-3 draw with Udinese, and they carried that momentum into the DFB-Pokal with a 9-0 rout of lower-league Krieschow. Their start has been built on defensive organisation and attacking efficiency, yet the goalless draw with Paderborn will remind Fischer that converting control into goals remains a work in progress.

Eintracht Frankfurt arrive in Mainz with a more turbulent recent history. Adi Hutter’s side opened their league account with a 3-3 draw at Union Berlin, a result that spoke of both attacking intent and defensive fragility. That fragility was exposed severely in their latest outing, a 4-1 home defeat to FC Augsburg that leaves them with a single point and a need to correct course quickly. Their cup run began with an 11-0 dismantling of SC St. Tönis, yet the memory of a 7-0 friendly loss to Brentford lingers as evidence of how vulnerable they can be when pressed.

The head-to-head record between these two clubs is not available in the data, leaving the recent form of each side as the primary guide. Frankfurt’s away days have been particularly difficult, with their only competitive away result this season being the draw in Berlin and the heavy defeat in the Brentford friendly. Mainz, by contrast, have shown they can win on the road in the league but are still seeking their first home victory of the season in front of their own supporters.

What this fixture lacks in historical context it makes up for in present urgency. Mainz will aim to protect their unbeaten league record and establish the Mewa Arena as a fortress, while Frankfurt will be determined to respond to their Augsburg setback and avoid slipping further behind the early pace. The early September kickoff offers a fresh start after the international break, and the Rhineland rivalry, though not statistically documented here, carries its own weight in regional pride.

Both coaches will demand sharper finishing and sturdier defending, but the outcome remains entirely open. The scene is set for an intriguing afternoon in Mainz, where a compact home side meeting a wounded away team often produces a contest of fine margins and high tension.

Analyse du matchBrief d'avant-match

FSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht Frankfurt: the model read

FSV Mainz 05 meet Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga regular season - 3 at Mewa Arena, Mainz.

The baseline ratings are close, 1673 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans FSV Mainz 05, 73% against 57%. Attacking output favors FSV Mainz 05 on expected goals, 3.3 to 2.8 per match.

FSV Mainz 05 arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 20 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ Hamburger SV, D 0-0 v SC Paderborn 07, W 9-0 @ Krieschow, W 2-1 v Bournemouth.

Eintracht Frankfurt are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 20 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v FC Augsburg, D 3-3 @ Union Berlin, W 11-0 @ SC St. Tönis, L 0-7 @ Brentford.

Eintracht Frankfurt hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FSV Mainz 05 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt.

The market prices FSV at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on FSV Mainz 05: a 2.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 60 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

À vous de jouer

Prédisez le résultat et le score. La répartition des votes alimente le signal du réseau humain Lemeister.

Soyez le premier à vous prononcer.

Connectez-vous pour verrouiller votre pronostic. Se connecter

Pro

The model forecast est une fonctionnalité Pro.

Les scores en direct, les statistiques et les commentaires sont toujours gratuits. Le modèle de boîte de verre – probabilités, l'avantage contre le marché et le dossier complet du match – se débloque avec Pro.

Voir les plans

FSV Mainz 05

WWWDW13-3-4

Marqué 3.25 · Concédé 1.00 · Clean sheets 50% · Les deux marquent 40%

  • WEHamburger SV5-0
  • DDSC Paderborn 070-0
  • WEKrieschow9-0
  • WDBournemouth2-1
  • WDParis FC4-0

Eintracht Frankfurt

WLWDL9-5-6

Marqué 2.80 · Concédé 1.75 · Clean sheets 30% · Les deux marquent 65%

  • LDFC Augsburg1-4
  • DEUnion Berlin3-3
  • WESC St. Tönis11-0
  • LEBrentford0-7
  • WEFSV Frankfurt5-1

Face-à-face

10 rencontres

FSV Mainz 05recordEintracht Frankfurt
2
4
4 nuls

Buts

10-13

pour chaque

Moyenne de buts

2.3

par match

BTTS

60%

les deux ont marqué

Plus de 2.5

40%

3+ buts

FSV Mainz 05

Récent
WLDWLD
Victoires 2Buts 10-13

Plus grande victoire 3-1

Eintracht Frankfurt

Récent
LWDLWD
Victoires 4Buts 13-10

Plus grande victoire 3-0

  • FSV Mainz 052-1Eintracht Frankfurt
  • Eintracht Frankfurt1-0FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 051-1Eintracht Frankfurt
  • Eintracht Frankfurt1-3FSV Mainz 05
  • Eintracht Frankfurt1-0FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 051-1Eintracht Frankfurt
  • Eintracht Frankfurt3-0FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 051-1Eintracht Frankfurt
  • FSV Mainz 052-2Eintracht Frankfurt
  • FSV Mainz 050-1Eintracht Frankfurt

Entraîneurs

U. Fischer

Switzerland · 59

En fonction depuis 2025 · 5 équipes dirigées

  • Union Berlin2018–2023
  • Basel2015–2017
  • Thun2013–2015
  • Zürich2010–2012

Adi Hutter

Entraîneur principal

En fonction depuis 2026

Exporter l'artefact

Artefact partageable

Carte

MeisterIQ, les quatre entrées du modèle, le modèle par rapport au marché et l'avantage

Format

Débloquer HD et sans marque
Partager

Données réelles uniquement : résultats récents, face à face et cotes du marché. Aucun résultat du modèle n'est affiché pour les équipes sans a priori Lemeister.