Where the market is wrong on FC Augsburg v Bayer Leverkusen
FC Augsburg meet Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga regular season - 3 at WWK Arena, Augsburg.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1613, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 63%. Attacking output favors Bayer Leverkusen on expected goals, 2.5 to 2.4 per match.
FC Augsburg arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 23 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v FC Schalke 04, W 2-0 @ Energie Cottbus, L 0-4 @ Leeds, W 3-2 v Sassuolo.
Bayer Leverkusen are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ SV Elversberg, W 4-0 @ SV Wehen, W 2-1 @ Newcastle, L 1-2 @ Nottingham Forest.
Bayer Leverkusen hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 4 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 FC Augsburg.
The market prices FC at 23% implied. Our number sits apart on FC Augsburg: a 9.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
