Where the market is wrong on Le Puy Foot v Orleans
Le Puy Foot meet Orleans in the Ligue 3 regular season - 5 at Stade Charles Massot, Espaly-Saint Marcel.
The baseline ratings are close, 1492 to 1541, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 55%. Attacking output favors Orleans on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.
Le Puy Foot arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Orleans, L 0-2 @ Cannes, W 1-0 v Amiens, L 0-1 @ Versailles.
Orleans are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Le Puy Foot, L 0-1 v La Roche VF, W 2-0 @ Fleury 91, L 1-2 v Rouen.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 3 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Le Puy Foot 1-1 Orleans.
The market prices LE at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Orleans: a 7.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 69 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
