Where the market is wrong on La Roche VF v Cannes
La Roche VF meet Cannes in the Ligue 3 regular season - 3 at Stade Henri-Desgranges, La Roche-sur-Yon.
The baseline ratings are close, 1684 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 78% against 70%. Attacking output favors Cannes on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 69%. Draw no bet leans La Roche VF at 59%; double chance reads La Roche VF or draw 70%, Cannes or draw 58%.
La Roche VF arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Cannes, W 1-0 @ Amiens, W 3-2 v Versailles, D 1-1 @ Nantes.
Cannes are steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ La Roche VF, D 1-1 v Fleury 91, D 0-0 @ Rouen, D 3-3 v AS Roma.
The market prices LA at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on La Roche VF: a 4.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 64 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
