Where the market is wrong on Ciudad de Lucena v Tenerife II
Ciudad de Lucena meet Tenerife II in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 group 4 - 3.
Ciudad de Lucena rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1523. Recent form leans Ciudad de Lucena, 73% against 50%. Attacking output favors Ciudad de Lucena on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.9 per match.
Ciudad de Lucena arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Tenerife II, D 1-1 @ Mijas Las Lagunas, D 1-1 @ Linares Deportivo, W 2-1 v Dos Hermanas.
Tenerife II are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Ciudad de Lucena, W 3-1 v Atlético Central, L 1-2 @ Badajoz, L 0-3 @ Tenerife.
The market prices CIU at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on Ciudad de Lucena: a 13.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 85 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
