Where the market is wrong on Girona v Mallorca
Girona meet Mallorca in the Segunda División regular season - 8 at Estadi Montilivi, Girona.
Mallorca rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1443. Recent form leans Mallorca, 65% against 43%. Attacking output favors Mallorca on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.
Girona arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Albacete, W 2-1 @ Cadiz, L 1-2 v Castellón, W 2-0 @ Sporting Gijon.
Mallorca are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Almeria, W 1-0 @ Real Sociedad II, W 2-0 v Sabadell, D 0-0 @ Eldense.
The market prices GIR at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on Mallorca: a 14.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
