Where the market is wrong on Tenerife v Cadiz
Tenerife meet Cadiz in the Segunda División regular season - 7 at Heliodoro Rodríguez López, Santa Cruz de Tenerife.
Tenerife rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1400. Recent form leans Tenerife, 60% against 33%. Attacking output favors Tenerife on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
Tenerife arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Cadiz, L 0-5 @ Castellón, W 2-0 v Leganes, D 1-1 @ Real Sociedad II.
Cadiz are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Tenerife, L 1-2 v Girona, L 0-1 v Las Palmas, L 2-3 @ Almeria.
Tenerife hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tenerife 1-1 Cadiz.
The market prices TEN at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on Cadiz: a 6.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
