Where the market is wrong on Las Palmas v Leganes
Las Palmas meet Leganes in the Segunda División regular season - 4 at Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Las Palmas, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Las Palmas on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Las Palmas arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Leganes, L 2-5 @ Girona, W 2-0 @ AD Ceuta FC, W 2-1 v Albacete.
Leganes are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 3 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Las Palmas, W 1-0 v Eldense, W 1-0 @ Oviedo, D 1-1 @ Girona.
Las Palmas hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Las Palmas 0-0 Leganes.
The market prices LAS at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
