Where the market is wrong on Victoria Września v Lipno Stęszew
Victoria Września meet Lipno Stęszew in the III Liga - Group 2 group ii - 10.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 40%. Attacking output favors Lipno Stęszew on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Victoria Września arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Lipno Stęszew, D 1-1 @ Stargard Szczeciński, D 2-2 v Chemik Bydgoszcz, D 3-3 v Kalisz.
Lipno Stęszew are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Victoria Września, W 2-1 v Bałtyk Koszalin, L 1-4 @ Kotwica Kórnik, L 1-3 v Flota Świnoujście.
Lipno Stęszew hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Victoria Września 1-1 Lipno Stęszew.
The market prices VIC at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output