Where the market is wrong on Wda Świecie v Noteć Czarnków
Wda Świecie meet Noteć Czarnków in the III Liga - Group 2 group ii - 6.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1541, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Wda Świecie, 63% against 53%. Attacking output favors Wda Świecie on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 75%, over 2.5 goals around 77%. Draw no bet leans Noteć Czarnków at 52%; double chance reads Wda Świecie or draw 63%, Noteć Czarnków or draw 66%.
Wda Świecie arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Noteć Czarnków, W 1-0 @ Unia Swarzędz, W 4-2 v Grom Nowy Staw, D 1-1 @ Gedania Gdansk.
Noteć Czarnków are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Wda Świecie, W 3-1 v Elana Toruń, W 1-0 @ Kalisz, W 3-0 @ Unia Swarzędz.
Noteć Czarnków hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Wda Świecie 2-1 Noteć Czarnków.
The market prices WDA at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
