Where the market is wrong on Naprzód v Busko-Zdroj
Naprzód meet Busko-Zdroj in the III Liga - Group 4 group iv - 10.
The baseline ratings are close, 1516 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Naprzód, 50% against 36%. Attacking output favors Naprzód on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Naprzód arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 15 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Busko-Zdroj, W 5-2 @ Czarni Połaniec, W 4-2 v Hetman Zamosc, D 2-2 @ KSZO 1929.
Busko-Zdroj are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Naprzód, W 2-1 v Moravia Morawica, L 1-2 @ Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów, W 2-1 v Wiślanie Jaśkowice.
Naprzód hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Naprzód 4-1 Busko-Zdroj.
The market prices NAP at 52% implied. Our number sits apart on Busko-Zdroj: a 4.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
