Matsumoto Yamaga v Shonan Bellmare: the model read
Matsumoto Yamaga meet Shonan Bellmare in the J-League Cup round of 128 at Sunpro Alwin, Matsumoto.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 48%. Attacking output favors Matsumoto Yamaga on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Matsumoto Yamaga arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Osaka, D 1-1 @ Kitakyushu, D 2-2 v Ehime FC, L 2-3 v Biwako Shiga.
Shonan Bellmare are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Vegalta Sendai, D 2-2 @ Omiya Ardija, W 1-0 v Reinmeer Aomori, D 0-0 @ Tegevajaro Miyazaki.
Shonan Bellmare hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 Shonan Bellmare.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
