Where the market is wrong on Baník Kalinovo v Fiľakovo
Baník Kalinovo meet Fiľakovo in the 3. liga - Center central - 3.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Fiľakovo, 50% against 38%. Attacking output favors Fiľakovo on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Fiľakovo at 58%; double chance reads Baník Kalinovo or draw 60%, Fiľakovo or draw 71%.
Baník Kalinovo arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Fiľakovo, L 1-4 @ Brezno, L 1-2 @ Rimavská Sobota, W 2-1 v Dolný Kubín.
Fiľakovo are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Baník Kalinovo, W 4-0 @ Hronec, W 1-0 v Novohrad Lučenec, W 1-0 v Banská Byst II.
Baník Kalinovo hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Baník Kalinovo 0-0 Fiľakovo.
The market prices BAN at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Fiľakovo: a 7.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 71 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
