Where the market is wrong on FCSB v Oţelul
FCSB meet Oţelul in the Liga I regular season - 11 at Arena Nationala, Bucharest.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 53%. Attacking output favors FCSB on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
FCSB arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 9 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ Universitatea Craiova, D 2-2 v Petrolul Ploiesti, L 1-2 @ Dinamo Bucuresti, W 5-0 @ Arges Pitesti.
Oţelul are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Corvinul Hunedoara, L 0-3 @ Universitatea Cluj, L 0-1 v Rapid, D 2-2 @ FC Voluntari.
FCSB hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FCSB 4-0 Oţelul.
The market prices FCS at 62% implied. Our number sits apart on Oţelul: a 22.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
