Pisa v Empoli: the model read
Pisa meet Empoli in the Coppa Italia round of 64 at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa. The model makes Empoli the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 29% PIS, 30% draw, 41% EMP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Empoli, 32% against 16%. Attacking output favors Empoli on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Empoli at 59%; double chance reads Pisa or draw 59%, Empoli or draw 71%.
Pisa arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 6-1 v Pavia, L 1-2 @ Lazio, L 0-3 v Napoli, L 0-3 @ Cremonese.
Empoli are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Monza, W 1-0 v Avellino, L 0-2 @ Venezia, D 1-1 v Virtus Entella.
Empoli hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: Pisa 1-1 Empoli.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
