Lazio v Mantova: the model read
Lazio meet Mantova in the Coppa Italia round of 64 at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.
The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 70%. Attacking output favors Mantova on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 68%. Draw no bet leans Mantova at 53%; double chance reads Lazio or draw 62%, Mantova or draw 67%.
Lazio arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Genoa, W 1-0 @ Bologna, L 0-2 v Mantova, W 2-1 @ Frosinone.
Mantova are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Empoli, W 2-1 @ Carrarese, W 2-0 @ Lazio, L 0-1 v Athletic Carpi.
Mantova hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lazio 0-2 Mantova.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
