Where the market is wrong on Crewe v Shrewsbury
Crewe meet Shrewsbury in the League Two regular season - 7 at Alexandra Stadium, Crewe.
The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Crewe, 53% against 43%. Attacking output favors Crewe on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Crewe arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Aston Villa U21, D 1-1 v Shrewsbury, D 1-1 @ Colchester, D 1-1 v York.
Shrewsbury are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Tranmere, D 1-1 @ Crewe, W 2-0 v Northampton, L 0-2 @ Fleetwood Town.
Crewe hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Crewe 1-1 Shrewsbury.
The market prices CRE at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
