Where the market is wrong on CSKA Moscow v FC Rostov
CSKA Moscow meet FC Rostov in the Cup group stage - 4 at VEB Arena, Moscow.
The baseline ratings are close, 1492 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 50%. Attacking output favors FC Rostov on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
CSKA Moscow arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Nizhny Novgorod, W 3-1 @ Dinamo Makhachkala, D 1-1 v Rubin, W 2-1 @ Zenit.
FC Rostov are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Dynamo, L 0-3 @ Spartak Moscow, W 3-1 v Fakel, W 2-0 v CSKA Moscow.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Rostov 2-0 CSKA Moscow.
The market prices CSK at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on FC Rostov: a 16.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
