Millwall v Bolton: the model read
Millwall meet Bolton in the Championship regular season - 5 at The Den, London.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 55%. Attacking output favors Bolton on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.
Millwall arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Southampton, W 1-0 @ Cambridge United, W 3-0 v Norwich, W 2-0 @ Bristol City.
Bolton are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Sheffield Utd, L 0-1 v Lincoln, D 0-0 @ QPR, W 2-1 v Preston.
Bolton hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Bolton 2-1 Millwall.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
