Where the market is wrong on West Brom v Charlton
West Brom meet Charlton in the Championship regular season - 4 at The Hawthorns, West Bromwich.
West Brom rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1512. Recent form leans West Brom, 70% against 50%. Attacking output favors West Brom on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
West Brom arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 12 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Middlesbrough, L 2-3 @ Newcastle, W 3-1 v Burnley, W 2-1 @ Norwich.
Charlton are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Preston, L 1-5 @ Tottenham, W 2-1 @ West Ham, W 2-1 v Derby.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 3 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: West Brom 1-1 Charlton.
The market prices WES at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Charlton: a 3.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
