Where the market is wrong on Austria Lustenau v WSG Wattens
Austria Lustenau meet WSG Wattens in the Bundesliga regular season - 5 at Planet Pure Stadion, Lustenau.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1432, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Austria Lustenau, 55% against 39%. Attacking output favors WSG Wattens on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans Austria Lustenau at 52%; double chance reads Austria Lustenau or draw 66%, WSG Wattens or draw 63%.
Austria Lustenau arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v WSG Wattens, D 1-1 @ Sturm Graz, W 2-1 v Wolfsberger AC, L 1-2 @ Grazer AK.
WSG Wattens are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Austria Lustenau, L 0-3 v Red Bull Salzburg, L 1-3 @ SCR Altach, D 1-1 v Sturm Graz.
The market prices AUS at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on WSG Wattens: a 7.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
