Monagas SC v Bolívar: the model read
Monagas SC meet Bolívar in the Copa Venezuela round 1 - group e. The model makes Bolívar the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 33% MON, 32% draw, 35% BOL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1481, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Bolívar, 47% against 37%. Attacking output favors Monagas SC on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans Bolívar at 51%; double chance reads Monagas SC or draw 65%, Bolívar or draw 67%.
Monagas SC arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz, D 1-1 v Puerto Cabello, L 2-3 @ Estudiantes de Merida FC, W 3-0 v Rayo Zuliano.
Bolívar are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Mineros de Guyana, D 1-1 @ Mineros de Guyana, W 2-0 v Petare FC, D 0-0 @ Atletico Avila FC.
Monagas SC hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Bolívar 0-0 Monagas SC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
