Where the market is wrong on Nyiregyhaza v Paks
Nyiregyhaza meet Paks in the NB I regular season - 6.
The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1522, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 53%. Attacking output favors Paks on expected goals, 2.8 to 1.4 per match.
Nyiregyhaza arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Paks, L 1-2 @ MTK Budapest, W 2-1 v Kisvarda FC, L 0-1 @ Debreceni VSC.
Paks are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 9 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Nyiregyhaza, W 2-0 v Ujpest, L 2-3 @ Puskas Academy, D 2-2 v Budapest Honved.
Paks hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nyiregyhaza 1-1 Paks.
The market prices NYI at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Paks: a 9.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 76 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
