Where the market is wrong on Sigma Olomouc v Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc meet Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Liga regular season - 2 at Andruv stadion, Olomouc. The model makes Mlada Boleslav the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 33% SIG, 29% draw, 38% MLA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1573 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 58% against 63%. Attacking output favors Mlada Boleslav on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 63%. Draw no bet leans Mlada Boleslav at 53%; double chance reads Sigma Olomouc or draw 62%, Mlada Boleslav or draw 67%.
Sigma Olomouc arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ FK Jablonec, W 2-1 v Al Sadd, W 2-0 v Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, W 5-1 v Hanácká.
Mlada Boleslav are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 18 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ Artis, W 4-0 v Ried, W 4-2 @ Energie Cottbus, W 3-0 v Táborsko.
The market prices SIG at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on Mlada Boleslav: a 14.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output