Where the market is wrong on Suchitepéquez v Cobán Imperial
Suchitepéquez meet Cobán Imperial in the Liga Nacional regular season - 6.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Suchitepéquez, 48% against 38%. Attacking output favors Suchitepéquez on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans Suchitepéquez at 55%; double chance reads Suchitepéquez or draw 69%, Cobán Imperial or draw 62%.
Suchitepéquez arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Cobán Imperial, L 2-3 @ Aurora, L 1-2 v Marquense, L 0-3 @ Deportivo San Pedro.
Cobán Imperial are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Suchitepéquez, L 1-2 @ Marquense, L 0-2 v Antigua GFC, W 3-2 v Mixco.
Cobán Imperial hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Suchitepéquez 3-2 Cobán Imperial.
The market prices SUC at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on Cobán Imperial: a 5.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output