Mixco v Suchitepéquez: the model read
Mixco meet Suchitepéquez in the Liga Nacional regular season - 2. The model makes Suchitepéquez the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 28% MIX, 31% draw, 41% SUC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 63%. Attacking output favors Suchitepéquez on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans Suchitepéquez at 59%; double chance reads Mixco or draw 59%, Suchitepéquez or draw 72%.
Mixco arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 2 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Municipal, L 0-5 @ Municipal, L 0-2 v Municipal, W 2-0 v Cobán Imperial.
Suchitepéquez are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 2 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Comunicaciones, L 1-2 v Chiquimulilla, D 0-0 @ Chiquimulilla, L 0-3 @ Juventud Copalera.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: Suchitepéquez 3-2 Mixco.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
