Malacateco v Cobán Imperial

Malacateco meet Cobán Imperial in the Liga Nacional regular season - 1. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 29% MAL, 35% draw, 35% COB.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Cobán Imperial, 45% against 33%. Attacking output favors Cobán Imperial on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 23%, over 2.5 goals around 16%. Draw no bet leans Cobán Imperial at 55%; double chance reads Malacateco or draw 65%, Cobán Imperial or draw 71%.

Malacateco arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Cobán Imperial, W 1-0 v Comunicaciones, L 1-2 @ Antigua GFC, W 2-0 v Cobán Imperial.

Cobán Imperial are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Malacateco, L 0-2 @ Mixco, W 2-0 v Mixco, L 1-2 @ Xelajú.

Malacateco hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Malacateco 1-1 Cobán Imperial.

The market prices MAL at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on Cobán Imperial: a 17.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 72 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.