Where the market is wrong on Dravinja v Bistrica
Dravinja meet Bistrica in the 2. SNL regular season - 7.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 40%. Attacking output favors Bistrica on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Dravinja arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Bistrica, L 1-5 @ Tabor Sežana, D 1-1 @ Brežice, L 1-4 v Triglav.
Bistrica are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Tabor Sežana, L 1-3 @ Dravinja, W 2-1 v Brežice, L 0-1 @ Triglav.
Bistrica hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Dravinja 3-1 Bistrica.
The market prices DRA at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on Dravinja: a 8.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 71 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
