Where the market is wrong on Primorje v Krka
Primorje meet Krka in the 2. SNL regular season - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Krka, 33% against 24%. Attacking output favors Krka on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 53%. Draw no bet leans Krka at 62%; double chance reads Primorje or draw 56%, Krka or draw 74%.
Primorje arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Krka, L 0-4 @ Beltinci, W 1-0 v Dekani, L 1-2 @ Krško.
Krka are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Primorje, L 2-3 v Slovan Ljubljana, L 0-3 @ Rudar, D 0-0 v Bistrica.
Krka hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Primorje 3-2 Krka.
The market prices PRI at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on Krka: a 14.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
