Where the market is wrong on Kortrijk v Charleroi
Kortrijk meet Charleroi in the Jupiler Pro League regular season - 4 at Guldensporen Stadion, Kortrijk.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Charleroi, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors Kortrijk on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.5 per match.
Kortrijk arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Charleroi, L 0-3 v Antwerp, D 1-1 v Club Brugge II, L 0-3 @ Club Brugge KV.
Charleroi are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Kortrijk, W 2-0 v KV Mechelen, W 1-0 @ Lommel United, W 3-1 v OH Leuven.
Charleroi hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kortrijk 1-3 Charleroi.
The market prices KOR at 25% implied. Our number sits apart on Kortrijk: a 8.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
