Where the market is wrong on Olimpija Ljubljana v Nafta
Olimpija Ljubljana meet Nafta in the 1. SNL regular season - 6 at Stadion Stozice, Ljubljana.
The baseline ratings are close, 1458 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Nafta, 57% against 42%. Attacking output favors Nafta on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 38%. Draw no bet leans Nafta at 56%; double chance reads Olimpija Ljubljana or draw 62%, Nafta or draw 70%.
Olimpija Ljubljana arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Nafta, D 1-1 v Maribor, L 0-1 @ Celje, W 1-0 v Aluminij.
Nafta are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Olimpija Ljubljana, L 1-3 v Celje, D 1-1 @ Aluminij, W 5-2 v Mura.
Olimpija Ljubljana hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 Nafta.
The market prices OLI at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on Nafta: a 19.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
