Where the market is wrong on Maribor v Bravo
Maribor meet Bravo in the 1. SNL regular season - 6 at Ljudski vrt, Maribor.
The baseline ratings are close, 1509 to 1577, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 58%. Attacking output favors Maribor on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Maribor at 52%; double chance reads Maribor or draw 67%, Bravo or draw 64%.
Maribor arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Bravo, D 1-1 @ Olimpija Ljubljana, W 2-0 v Koper, D 1-1 @ Celje.
Bravo are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Mura, L 1-3 @ Maribor, D 0-0 @ Koper, D 1-1 v Brinje-Grosuplje.
Maribor hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Maribor 3-1 Bravo.
The market prices MAR at 58% implied. Our number sits apart on Bravo: a 13.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
