Olimpija Ljubljana v Aluminij

Olimpija Ljubljana meet Aluminij in the 1. SNL regular season - 3 at Stadion Stozice, Ljubljana. The model makes Olimpija Ljubljana the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% OLI, 35% draw, 28% ALU.

The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1405, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 36% against 38%. Attacking output favors Olimpija Ljubljana on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 25%, over 2.5 goals around 18%. Draw no bet leans Olimpija Ljubljana at 57%; double chance reads Olimpija Ljubljana or draw 72%, Aluminij or draw 63%.

Olimpija Ljubljana arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 2 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Mura, L 0-2 v Bravo, L 0-1 v LNZ Cherkasy, L 1-3 v Rudes.

Aluminij are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Dinamo Tirana, D 0-0 v Maribor, L 0-1 v Sheriff Tiraspol, D 0-0 @ Sheriff Tiraspol.

Olimpija Ljubljana hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 Aluminij.

The market prices OLI at 57% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 10.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.