Mura v Olimpija Ljubljana

Mura meet Olimpija Ljubljana in the 1. SNL regular season - 2 at Mestni stadion Fazanerija, Murska Sobota. The model makes Olimpija Ljubljana the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 31% MUR, 32% draw, 37% OLI.

The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 36%. Attacking output favors Olimpija Ljubljana on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 38%. Draw no bet leans Olimpija Ljubljana at 54%; double chance reads Mura or draw 63%, Olimpija Ljubljana or draw 69%.

Mura arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Olimpija Ljubljana, D 2-2 @ Celje, L 1-4 @ Beltinci, D 1-1 v FC Noah.

Olimpija Ljubljana are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 2 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Mura, L 0-2 v Bravo, L 0-1 v LNZ Cherkasy, L 1-3 v Rudes.

Olimpija Ljubljana hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mura 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana.

The market prices MUR at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.