Where the market is wrong on Koper v Radomlje
Koper meet Radomlje in the 1. SNL regular season - 2 at Bonifika, Koper. The model makes Koper the most likely outcome at 58%, with the full read 58% KOP, 24% draw, 19% RAD.
Koper rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1713 to 1400. Recent form leans Koper, 78% against 32%. Attacking output favors Koper on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 82%. Draw no bet leans Koper at 76%; double chance reads Koper or draw 81%, Radomlje or draw 42%.
Koper arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Radomlje, W 2-0 @ NSI Runavik, W 2-0 @ Nafta, W 3-1 @ MTK Budapest.
Radomlje are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 2 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Koper, L 0-2 v Brinje-Grosuplje, L 0-1 v NK Varazdin, L 0-2 v HNK Rijeka.
Koper hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Koper 2-2 Radomlje.
The market prices KOP at 64% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
