Aluminij v Maribor: the model read
Aluminij meet Maribor in the 1. SNL regular season - 1 at Sportni park Aluminij, Kidricevo. The model makes Maribor the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 23% ALU, 33% draw, 44% MAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1405 to 1509, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Maribor, 53% against 38%. Attacking output favors Maribor on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 25%, over 2.5 goals around 27%. Draw no bet leans Maribor at 65%; double chance reads Aluminij or draw 56%, Maribor or draw 77%.
Aluminij arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Dinamo Tirana, D 0-0 v Maribor, L 0-1 v Sheriff Tiraspol, D 0-0 @ Sheriff Tiraspol.
Maribor are steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Brinje-Grosuplje, D 0-0 @ Aluminij, D 1-1 v Charlton, D 1-1 v Železničar Pančevo.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
