Stranraer v Kelty Hearts: the model read
Stranraer meet Kelty Hearts in the League Two regular season - 5 at Stair Park, Stranraer.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1432, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Stranraer, 45% against 37%. Attacking output favors Stranraer on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.
Stranraer arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 3-4 v Celtic II, W 2-0 v Kelty Hearts, W 3-0 v Gala Fairydean Rovers, D 2-2 @ Stirling Albion.
Kelty Hearts are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Stranraer, L 2-4 v Clydebank, W 3-1 v Dumbarton, L 1-4 @ Elgin City.
Kelty Hearts hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Stranraer 2-0 Kelty Hearts.
The market prices STR at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
