Newcastle v Everton: the model read
Newcastle meet Everton in the Premier League regular season - 9 at St. James' Park, Newcastle.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 53%. Attacking output favors Newcastle on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.
Newcastle arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Hull City, L 1-4 @ Leeds, W 1-0 @ Millwall, D 2-2 v Bournemouth.
Everton are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Ipswich, W 1-0 v Wolves, D 0-0 @ Tottenham, D 2-2 v Manchester United.
Everton hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Newcastle 1-3 Everton.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
