Where the market is wrong on Dundee Utd v Falkirk
Dundee Utd meet Falkirk in the Premiership regular season - 6 at Tannadice Park, Dundee.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 45%. Attacking output favors Dundee Utd on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Dundee Utd arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Kilmarnock, L 0-2 v Dundee, L 0-4 v Celtic, L 0-4 @ Heart Of Midlothian.
Falkirk are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Celtic, D 0-0 @ Motherwell, L 0-2 v ST Mirren, W 3-0 v Stranraer.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Falkirk 2-1 Dundee Utd.
The market prices DUN at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on Falkirk: a 5.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output