FC Copenhagen v Polessya

FC Copenhagen meet Polessya in the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd qualifying round at Parken Stadium, Copenhagen. The model makes Polessya the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% FC , 27% draw, 36% POL.

The baseline ratings are close, 1673 to 1601, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans FC Copenhagen, 73% against 63%. Attacking output favors FC Copenhagen on expected goals, 2.8 to 2.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 83%, over 2.5 goals around 86%. Draw no bet leans Polessya at 50%; double chance reads FC Copenhagen or draw 64%, Polessya or draw 64%.

FC Copenhagen arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 12 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Lyngby, D 3-3 @ Polessya, W 2-1 v Viborg, W 3-2 v AC Horsens.

Polessya are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v FC Copenhagen, L 0-2 @ Plzen, L 1-3 v Shimizu S-pulse, W 2-1 @ WSG Wattens.

Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Polessya 3-3 FC Copenhagen.

The market prices FC at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on Polessya: a 15.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.