Where the market is wrong on FC Thun v Servette FC
FC Thun meet Servette FC in the Super League regular season - 4 at Stockhorn Arena, Thun.
Servette FC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1625 to 1420. Recent form leans Servette FC, 66% against 37%. Attacking output favors Servette FC on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 73%, over 2.5 goals around 90%. Draw no bet leans Servette FC at 70%; double chance reads FC Thun or draw 47%, Servette FC or draw 78%.
FC Thun arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 12 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Lech Poznan, L 0-7 @ Lech Poznan, W 6-0 @ Saxon Sports, L 2-3 @ Vikingur Reykjavik.
Servette FC are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 7-0 @ Bavois, W 2-1 v Grasshoppers, L 1-2 @ FC Zurich, L 0-1 v FC Basel 1893.
FC Thun hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Servette FC 1-3 FC Thun.
The market prices FC at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on Servette FC: a 12.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 86 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
