IMT Novi Beograd delivered a commanding 4-0 victory over Zemun in the Super Liga Regular Season - 2 match, a result that the Lemeister model had favoured with a 40% probability for the home side, though the margin exceeded its projected 1-0 win. The scoreline reflected a performance built on clinical finishing and numerical superiority after Zemun were reduced to ten men early in the second half.
The opening period was cagey, with neither side able to dominate territorially, but IMT broke the deadlock five minutes before half-time through I. Martos, who converted a normal goal in the 40th minute. That goal gave the hosts a slender lead at the break, and the match changed decisively in the 36th minute when Zemun's Novak Petrušić received a red card, leaving the visitors to play the remainder with ten men. The sending-off came one minute after IMT's Josué Tiendrebeogo had been booked, but it was Zemun who suffered the harsher punishment.
The second half saw IMT exploit their man advantage ruthlessly. In the 56th minute, C. Keita doubled the lead from a normal goal, with N. Glisic providing the assist. The visitors' resistance crumbled further in the 63rd minute when V. Novicic converted a penalty, making it 3-0. T. Cojic completed the scoring in the 78th minute with a normal goal, capping a half in which IMT's pressure was relentless and Zemun's defence increasingly stretched.
The statistical picture, derived from the structured data, underscores IMT's control. On shots, the home side outshot Zemun 14 to 6. Shots on target told a more emphatic story: IMT had 7 efforts on goal against Zemun's 1. Expected goals data reinforced the dominance, with IMT posting 1.8 xG to Zemun's 0.3, indicating that the home side created higher-quality chances and converted them efficiently. Possession was evenly split at 50% each, suggesting Zemun did not concede the ball but struggled to turn their share into meaningful attacks. Passing accuracy was similar, with IMT completing 81% of their passes to Zemun's 78%. The home side earned more corners, 6 to 3, another indicator of sustained pressure.
Discipline was marginally in IMT's favour despite the red card for Zemun. IMT accumulated two yellow cards, for Josué Tiendrebeogo and Oriyomi Lebi, while Zemun's single card was Petrušić's red. Both teams made five substitutions, but the numerical advantage proved decisive. While individual player match ratings were not provided in the data, the contributions of key nameable players were evident: Martos opened the scoring, Keita added a goal from Glisic's assist, Novicic converted the penalty, and Cojic sealed the result late on. Their collective effectiveness was the difference in a match that became one-sided after the sending-off.
The result leaves IMT Novi Beograd with four points from their opening two matches, a solid start in the Regular Season - 2 context. For Zemun, the defeat, compounded by the red card and the heavy scoreline, means they remain without a point after two games and face an uphill battle to recover momentum in the early stages of the campaign. The Lemeister model's pre-match assessment correctly identified IMT as the likelier winners, though the 4-0 margin surpassed expectations and highlighted Zemun's difficulties when reduced to ten men.
