Where the market is wrong on Raków Częstochowa v Jagiellonia
Raków Częstochowa meet Jagiellonia in the Ekstraklasa regular season - 6 at Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow, Czestochowa.
Jagiellonia rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1742 to 1500. Recent form leans Jagiellonia, 83% against 48%. Attacking output favors Jagiellonia on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.
Raków Częstochowa arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 v Jagiellonia, L 2-3 v HNK Hajduk Split, D 2-2 @ HNK Hajduk Split, L 1-2 @ Cracovia Krakow.
Jagiellonia are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 @ Raków Częstochowa, W 2-1 @ FC Iberia 1999, W 4-0 v FC Iberia 1999, D 1-1 @ Rangers.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Raków Częstochowa 2-5 Jagiellonia.
The market prices RAK at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on Jagiellonia: a 18.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
