Strasbourg v Auxerre: the model read
Strasbourg meet Auxerre in the Ligue 1 regular season - 9 at Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg. The model makes Auxerre the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 31% STR, 30% draw, 39% AUX.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1492, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 50%. Attacking output favors Strasbourg on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 54%. Draw no bet leans Auxerre at 55%; double chance reads Strasbourg or draw 61%, Auxerre or draw 69%.
Strasbourg arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-7 @ Sporting CP, W 5-4 v Monaco, W 2-1 @ Stade Brestois 29, D 1-1 @ Angers.
Auxerre are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Orleans, W 5-2 v St Maur Lusitanos, W 2-0 @ Lille, W 2-1 v Nice.
Strasbourg hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Auxerre 0-0 Strasbourg.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
