AZ Alkmaar v PSV Eindhoven: the model read
AZ Alkmaar meet PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie regular season - 15 at AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar. The model makes PSV Eindhoven the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 32% AZ , 27% draw, 41% PSV.
The baseline ratings are close, 1547 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans PSV Eindhoven, 70% against 58%. Attacking output favors PSV Eindhoven on expected goals, 2.9 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 86%, over 2.5 goals around 91%. Draw no bet leans PSV Eindhoven at 56%; double chance reads AZ Alkmaar or draw 59%, PSV Eindhoven or draw 68%.
AZ Alkmaar arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Zulte Waregem, L 0-1 v Anderlecht, W 2-1 v Almere City FC, D 3-3 v Gent.
PSV Eindhoven are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 20 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 7-3 v Union St. Gilloise, W 3-2 v Raków Częstochowa, D 1-1 v Antwerp, W 5-1 v Twente.
PSV Eindhoven hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: PSV Eindhoven 2-1 AZ Alkmaar.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
