Willem II v PEC Zwolle: the model read
Willem II meet PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie regular season - 12 at Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg. The model makes Willem II the most likely outcome at 51%, with the full read 51% WIL, 27% draw, 22% PEC.
Willem II rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1662 to 1431. Recent form leans Willem II, 71% against 40%. Attacking output favors Willem II on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans Willem II at 70%; double chance reads Willem II or draw 78%, PEC Zwolle or draw 49%.
Willem II arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v FC Eindhoven, L 1-2 v Quick Boys, W 2-1 @ FC Volendam, L 1-2 v FC Volendam.
PEC Zwolle are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Cercle Brugge, L 0-1 v Al-Jazira, L 0-2 v Feyenoord, L 2-3 @ Fortuna Sittard.
PEC Zwolle hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Willem II 1-2 PEC Zwolle.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
