Where the market is wrong on AZ Alkmaar v Telstar
AZ Alkmaar meet Telstar in the Eredivisie regular season - 7 at AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）, Alkmaar.
AZ Alkmaar rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1637 to 1458. Recent form leans AZ Alkmaar, 71% against 42%. Attacking output favors AZ Alkmaar on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.5 per match.
AZ Alkmaar arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Telstar, L 0-1 @ Sunderland, D 1-1 v Willem II, W 3-2 @ Heerenveen.
Telstar are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 2 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ AZ Alkmaar, D 0-0 @ Heerenveen, L 0-1 @ Twente, D 2-2 v Cambuur.
AZ Alkmaar hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Telstar.
The market prices AZ at 75% implied. Our number sits apart on Telstar: a 14.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
