Where the market is wrong on De Graafschap v Den Bosch
De Graafschap meet Den Bosch in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 8 at De Vijverberg, Dutinghem.
The baseline ratings are close, 1407 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Den Bosch, 45% against 34%. Attacking output favors De Graafschap on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.
De Graafschap arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Den Bosch, L 1-2 v NAC Breda, W 2-1 @ Emmen, L 0-5 @ Heracles.
Den Bosch are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ De Graafschap, W 2-1 v Helmond Sport, L 0-2 @ FC Volendam, L 1-3 @ Jong PSV U21.
De Graafschap hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: De Graafschap 1-0 Den Bosch.
The market prices DE at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on Den Bosch: a 7.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 71 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
