Dordrecht v Jong AZ: the model read
Dordrecht meet Jong AZ in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 5 at M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht. The model makes Jong AZ the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% DOR, 28% draw, 36% JON.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1496, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 47%. Attacking output favors Jong AZ on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 75%, over 2.5 goals around 76%. Draw no bet leans Jong AZ at 50%; double chance reads Dordrecht or draw 64%, Jong AZ or draw 64%.
Dordrecht arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 v Lusail City, W 4-1 v Borussia Dortmund II, L 0-2 v Excelsior, L 0-6 v Feyenoord.
Jong AZ are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Jong Ajax, W 3-1 v FC Volendam, D 1-1 @ Waalwijk, W 2-0 v Roda.
Jong AZ hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Jong AZ 1-2 Dordrecht.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
