MVV v FC Volendam: the model read
MVV meet FC Volendam in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 3 at De Geusselt, Maastricht. The model makes FC Volendam the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 31% MVV, 30% draw, 39% FC .
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 40%. Attacking output favors FC Volendam on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 51%. Draw no bet leans FC Volendam at 56%; double chance reads MVV or draw 61%, FC Volendam or draw 69%.
MVV arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ EVV, D 0-0 v Racing FC Union Luxembourg, D 0-0 @ Seraing United, W 4-1 @ FC Viktoria Köln.
FC Volendam are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Waalwijk, L 1-2 @ Almere City FC, L 1-3 @ Jong AZ, W 3-2 @ RKAV Volendam.
FC Volendam hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: FC Volendam 3-1 MVV.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
